Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +21 (104-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Blake Griffin * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 18 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 29 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Willie Green | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 42 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 29 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 40 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 36 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 36 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 9 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Tony Wroten | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ed Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Daye | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter