Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +2 (93-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 44 | 9-18 | 1-5 | 9-13 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 43 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 38 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 38 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 18 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Keyon Dooling | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ed Davis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Blake Griffin * | 34 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 22 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 33 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter