Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +21 (112-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 40 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 30 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Keyon Dooling | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ed Davis | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Austin Daye | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tony Wroten | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Blake Griffin * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 23 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 26 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 18 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Willie Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter