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Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 33.6% 66.4% - โœ—
Margin 33.8% 66.2% - โœ—
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 33.9% 66.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% - โœ—

Actual: New York Knicks -6 (86-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Paul Pierce * 44 6-19 4-8 0-0 4 3 1 0 5 16 0 -
Jeff Green * 42 5-8 2-2 6-6 4 4 0 0 2 18 16 -
Brandon Bass * 40 6-7 0-0 5-5 5 3 1 0 2 17 17 -
Kevin Garnett * 38 5-9 0-0 6-6 18 5 0 2 5 16 27 -
Avery Bradley * 22 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
Jason Terry 35 6-16 5-9 0-0 4 3 1 1 0 17 10 -
Terrence Williams 16 2-5 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 5 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Carmelo Anthony * 45 8-24 0-5 6-6 7 2 0 0 0 22 7 -
Raymond Felton * 44 10-19 0-3 1-2 6 4 0 0 3 21 9 -
Tyson Chandler * 33 3-5 0-0 2-2 11 2 3 0 0 8 19 -
Iman Shumpert * 29 4-7 1-2 3-4 6 1 3 0 2 12 13 -
Pablo Prigioni * 12 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -
JR Smith 36 3-14 3-8 5-6 4 2 0 0 2 14 4 -
Jason Kidd 21 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -
Kenyon Martin 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
Steve Novak 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Marcus Camby 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter