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2013-04-28 ยท Final/OT

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 67.1% 32.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 66.4% 33.6% - โœ—
Margin 52.0% 48.0% - โœ—
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 66.1% 33.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% - โœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics +7 (97-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Raymond Felton * 47 10-21 4-9 3-4 4 3 3 0 2 27 14 -
Carmelo Anthony * 45 10-35 0-7 16-20 7 2 1 0 7 36 4 -
Iman Shumpert * 44 5-13 2-6 0-0 12 0 2 2 0 12 15 -
Tyson Chandler * 31 2-3 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 1 2 5 13 -
Pablo Prigioni * 28 1-6 0-3 1-2 4 2 4 0 1 3 6 -
Jason Kidd 36 0-3 0-2 0-0 9 2 0 0 2 0 6 -
Kenyon Martin 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Steve Novak 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Quentin Richardson 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Paul Pierce * 49 9-20 4-8 7-8 8 6 0 1 6 29 18 -
Jeff Green * 48 9-22 1-4 7-8 6 2 1 0 1 26 12 -
Avery Bradley * 39 1-7 1-3 0-0 3 1 4 1 3 3 2 -
Kevin Garnett * 36 5-7 0-0 3-3 17 6 1 1 2 13 29 -
Brandon Bass * 30 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Jason Terry 40 7-10 1-4 3-3 0 4 1 0 0 18 13 -
Terrence Williams 10 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 3 0 1 3 1 1 -
Jordan Crawford 6 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
Chris Wilcox 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter