Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +16 (87-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 37 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jason Terry | 34 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 25 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Chris Wilcox | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Courtney Lee | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shavlik Randolph | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Terrence Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 39 | 11-24 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 14 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 36 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 17 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| JR Smith | 36 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Kenyon Martin | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Jason Kidd | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Chris Copeland | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Steve Novak | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Quentin Richardson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James White | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter