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Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% - โœ“
Margin 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +19 (110-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Nate Robinson * 43 9-19 1-5 1-2 1 8 1 0 3 20 8 -
Luol Deng * 43 6-14 0-3 0-0 8 3 2 0 2 12 9 -
Carlos Boozer * 40 4-8 0-0 2-2 10 2 0 0 3 10 11 -
Jimmy Butler III * 31 5-9 3-4 5-8 2 3 4 0 0 18 18 -
Joakim Noah * 28 4-8 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 2 1 11 10 -
Marco Belinelli 21 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 8 7 -
Taj Gibson 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
Nazr Mohammed 12 2-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 1 6 5 -
Marquis Teague 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Malcolm Thomas 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Daequan Cook 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 39 5-11 1-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 11 3 -
Gerald Wallace * 38 5-8 2-4 0-0 1 3 2 2 1 12 11 -
Deron Williams * 38 6-14 2-4 9-10 3 10 1 0 4 23 19 -
Brook Lopez * 35 11-20 0-0 6-7 10 2 0 0 2 28 18 -
Reggie Evans * 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 12 1 2 0 1 4 12 -
C.J. Watson 23 4-8 1-4 2-3 4 1 0 0 0 11 8 -
Andray Blatche 19 5-8 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 0 0 13 10 -
Kris Humphries 16 4-8 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
MarShon Brooks 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Tyshawn Taylor 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter