Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +8 (142-134). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 57 | 11-25 | 5-11 | 5-7 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 16 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 51 | 9-20 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 49 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 48 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 5-9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 47 | 10-20 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Watson | 30 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Andray Blatche | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Hinrich * | 59 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 56 | 7-19 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 50 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 40 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 38 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Nate Robinson | 28 | 14-23 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 16 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter