Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +4 (92-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Lawson * | 43 | 7-21 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 42 | 7-18 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 35 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Andre Miller | 25 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 18 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 45 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 41 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 39 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 30 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 27 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Draymond Green | 24 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Festus Ezeli | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Lee | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter