Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +7 (107-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 42 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 41 | 7-17 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 41 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 41 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Carl Landry | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Festus Ezeli | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Draymond Green | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Scott Machado | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dwayne Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 39 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 28 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 39 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 38 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Andre Miller | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 22 | 1-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Julyan Stone | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter