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Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 25.5% 74.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% - โœ—
Margin 41.1% 58.9% - โœ—
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% - โœ—

Actual: Brooklyn Nets -8 (82-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 42 7-17 0-2 1-3 10 4 1 2 2 15 13 -
Carlos Boozer * 41 6-12 0-0 1-1 12 2 0 0 2 13 13 -
Kirk Hinrich * 35 4-10 2-3 3-6 3 5 2 0 1 13 12 -
Jimmy Butler III * 29 1-4 0-2 3-5 4 2 0 2 2 5 7 -
Joakim Noah * 25 4-8 0-0 3-6 10 3 0 2 4 11 14 -
Nate Robinson 26 4-11 1-3 2-2 1 2 2 0 1 11 4 -
Nazr Mohammed 17 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 8 7 -
Marco Belinelli 11 4-7 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 8 4 -
Taj Gibson 10 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 39 6-18 3-7 2-2 4 4 1 0 2 17 6 -
Deron Williams * 38 1-9 0-5 6-7 4 10 1 1 2 8 13 -
Brook Lopez * 35 7-14 0-0 7-8 5 1 1 3 3 21 14 -
Reggie Evans * 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 0 2 4 9 -
Gerald Wallace * 19 1-7 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 2 -2 -
C.J. Watson 26 4-9 1-4 1-2 3 5 1 1 0 10 11 -
Andray Blatche 19 4-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
Kris Humphries 17 3-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Keith Bogans 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jerry Stackhouse 6 1-4 0-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
MarShon Brooks 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter