Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +14 (115-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 39 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 38 | 11-20 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 10 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 8 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 29 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 5-8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Andre Miller | 20 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Julyan Stone | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 42 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 41 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 10-16 | 6-11 | 5-5 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 27 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Draymond Green | 24 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Carl Landry | 18 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Festus Ezeli | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Scott Machado | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter