Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -14 (117-131). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Jack * | 42 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 41 | 13-23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 38 | 8-11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Draymond Green | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Carl Landry | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Festus Ezeli | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dwayne Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 43 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 38 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 32 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 30 | 6-16 | 3-11 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Andre Miller | 27 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Kenneth Faried | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
* = starter