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2013-04-20

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% +3.3 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“

Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (97-95). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 42 7-20 4-10 1-1 4 9 2 0 5 19 9 -
Klay Thompson * 41 10-19 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 3 2 22 8 -
Andrew Bogut * 31 4-7 0-0 1-2 14 3 1 4 2 9 22 -
Harrison Barnes * 28 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 8 8 -
David Lee * 28 4-14 0-0 2-4 14 2 0 1 4 10 9 -
Jarrett Jack 32 3-12 0-5 4-4 8 10 0 0 3 10 13 -
Carl Landry 23 6-14 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 1 1 14 7 -
Festus Ezeli 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Draymond Green 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wilson Chandler * 39 5-16 0-4 1-2 13 0 0 2 1 11 9 -
Ty Lawson * 38 6-15 0-3 0-0 5 4 3 0 2 12 7 -
Andre Iguodala * 36 2-4 0-1 4-6 10 5 3 0 2 8 20 -
Kosta Koufos * 25 2-7 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 1 1 6 6 -
Evan Fournier * 22 3-9 0-3 5-6 0 2 2 0 1 11 5 -
Andre Miller 27 11-16 1-1 5-7 3 5 1 0 2 28 19 -
JaVale McGee 23 4-4 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 1 1 9 11 -
Corey Brewer 21 4-12 2-4 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 10 -3 -
Anthony Randolph 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter