Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (97-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 42 | 7-20 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 41 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 22 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| David Lee * | 28 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jarrett Jack | 32 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Carl Landry | 23 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Festus Ezeli | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Draymond Green | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson Chandler * | 39 | 5-16 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 38 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 36 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Andre Miller | 27 | 11-16 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 21 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter