Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +12 (91-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 42 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 41 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 39 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 29 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Antawn Jamison | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Earl Clark | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Darius Morris | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 37 | 8-21 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Danny Green * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 29 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 18 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Gary Neal | 15 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| DeJuan Blair | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nando De Colo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aron Baynes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter