Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -7 (100-107). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Parsons * | 42 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| James Harden * | 41 | 10-16 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 25 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 40 | 6-14 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 37 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 13-18 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 19 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Greg Smith | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 44 | 11-23 | 1-8 | 13-16 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 26 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 35 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Derek Fisher | 29 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 22 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nick Collison | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter