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2013-04-29

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 51.7% 48.3% +0.4 โœ— (1.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 60.7% 39.3% - โœ—
Margin 58.1% 41.9% -1.8 โœ— (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 66.2% 33.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 66.2% 33.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 54.6% 45.4% - โœ—

Actual: Houston Rockets +2 (105-103). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 42 12-16 1-2 13-15 8 6 1 0 7 38 30 -
Reggie Jackson * 35 7-18 2-7 2-2 4 3 2 0 2 18 7 -
Serge Ibaka * 34 3-8 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 3 2 8 8 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 29 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 5 5 -
Kendrick Perkins * 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -
Kevin Martin 32 5-11 2-5 4-4 3 2 2 0 3 16 9 -
Derek Fisher 28 4-7 4-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 12 7 -
DeAndre Liggins 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 3 7 -
Nick Collison 13 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 2 0 3 10 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chandler Parsons * 41 11-21 3-6 2-3 10 8 0 1 3 27 22 -
Omer Asik * 37 7-10 0-0 3-5 14 1 1 1 3 17 21 -
Francisco Garcia * 36 3-9 3-7 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 9 4 -
Patrick Beverley * 36 5-10 2-4 4-4 4 3 1 1 0 16 15 -
James Harden * 35 4-12 0-4 7-8 1 3 5 1 10 15 3 -
Carlos Delfino 25 4-6 3-5 2-2 4 3 2 0 3 13 13 -
Aaron Brooks 16 3-7 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 7 3 -
Greg Smith 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 2 0 1 3 -

* = starter