Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +2 (105-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 42 | 12-16 | 1-2 | 13-15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 30 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 35 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 32 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Derek Fisher | 28 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Nick Collison | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Parsons * | 41 | 11-21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 37 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 36 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| James Harden * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 25 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 16 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Greg Smith | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter