Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +29 (120-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 33 | 6-19 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 24 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Patrick Beverley | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 26 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Terrence Jones | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Francisco Garcia | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| James Anderson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 9-9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 30 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 27 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Martin | 25 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Nick Collison | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Derek Fisher | 11 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter