Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +17 (106-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Boozer * | 44 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 39 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 38 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Nate Robinson | 20 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 19 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Richard Hamilton | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Wallace * | 36 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 27 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| C.J. Watson | 22 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Andray Blatche | 19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Keith Bogans | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyshawn Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter