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2013-05-11

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 29.9% 70.1% -
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +9 (83-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Carson 23 3-6 0-1 2-2 5 1 3 2 3 8 10 -
P. Pierson 20 4-7 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 1 2 12 8 -
C. Ford 19 4-6 0-0 0-1 1 2 1 1 5 8 2 -
K. Williams 19 6-8 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 12 5 -
A. Montgomery 18 6-9 0-0 0-0 4 5 2 0 4 12 10 -
K. Braxton 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 6 3 -
K. Bone 15 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
L. Mitchell 15 3-4 1-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 3 8 4 -
K. Smith 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -4 -
T. Young 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Cain 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 5 -
L. Moore 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Smith 9 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 6 10 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Montgomery 29 2-8 0-2 1-1 1 3 3 0 4 5 0 -
L. Williams 22 4-7 1-1 1-2 0 0 1 1 0 10 5 -
N. Lacy 22 2-9 0-1 2-2 5 3 3 0 1 6 7 -
A. Hightower 22 4-5 2-2 2-3 3 2 2 0 2 12 12 -
J. Leedham 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 5 0 2 6 11 -
A. Walker 18 2-9 1-4 3-4 4 0 1 0 2 8 2 -
K. Greene 17 3-6 0-0 0-0 0 1 3 1 1 6 4 -
C. van Grinsven 15 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
K. Griffin 12 1-5 0-0 3-4 1 1 2 0 0 5 4 -
K. Lawson 12 4-7 1-3 1-2 0 4 0 0 0 10 7 -
T. Charles 8 4-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 8 5 -
M. Bass 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -

* = starter