Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Tulsa Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tulsa Shock -14 (58-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Henry-Morello * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Herrington * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| L. Willingham * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Swanier * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Clements | 21 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| A. Bentley | 20 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| S. Carter | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Armstrong | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Alverson | 9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hodges * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Diggins-Smith * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Wiggins * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Pedersen * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| R. Williams | 22 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Paris | 17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Lacy | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Goodrich | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Black | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Lewis | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Lucas | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Spears | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter