Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.5% | 21.5% | -7.1 | ✗ (41.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +34 (89-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Briana Butler * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Jasmine James | 30 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Charde Houston | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Krystal Thomas | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 21 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 16 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 15 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 29 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 23 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A'dia Mathies | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Farhiya Abdi | 10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter