Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (26.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +34 (89-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. James | 31 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 23 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| B. Griner | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| B. Butler | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Houston | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| L. Kizer | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| P. Taylor | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. O'Hea | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| J. Lavender | 24 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| L. Harding | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 21 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| M. Coleman | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Mathies | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| C. Parker | 16 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| K. Toliver | 15 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| F. Abdi | 10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Beard | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter