Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +18 (70-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leilani Mitchell | 33 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Smith | 28 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| P. Pierson | 26 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Young | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| K. Bone | 21 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| K. Braxton | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Williams | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hill | 31 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| I. Latta | 25 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Currie | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 17 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. McKenith | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Snow | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter