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2013-09-10

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 78.8% 21.2% -
Bradley-Terry 67.5% 32.5% -
Margin 68.4% 31.6% -4.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 67.1% 32.9% -

Actual: New York Liberty -4 (76-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bonner 36 5-6 4-5 4-4 5 1 1 1 1 18 19 -
D. Taurasi 34 4-13 2-7 7-8 6 9 1 1 4 17 17 -
C. Dupree 32 9-15 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 18 8 -
B. Griner 27 4-8 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 4 3 9 7 -
P. Taylor 21 2-5 1-3 7-8 3 2 0 0 2 12 10 -
B. Butler 18 1-3 0-2 2-4 2 1 2 0 0 4 6 -
K. Thomas 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
L. Kizer 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. James 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Houston 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Hornbuckle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Smith 34 6-16 2-9 3-3 0 3 1 0 2 17 3 -
P. Pierson 31 2-10 0-1 1-2 15 6 1 0 0 5 17 -
T. Young 24 4-8 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 1 1 9 7 -
A. Montgomery 23 5-13 3-3 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 13 6 -
L. Mitchell 22 2-5 1-4 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 6 2 -
K. Braxton 22 3-11 0-0 3-3 5 2 1 1 1 9 6 -
D. Milton-Jones 22 2-7 0-1 2-6 5 2 0 0 2 6 4 -
K. Bone 19 5-11 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 0 0 11 8 -
K. Williams 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter