Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.5% | 24.5% | -6.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -11 (69-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 38 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 33 | - |
| L. Whalen | 33 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| S. Augustus | 31 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | - |
| R. Brunson | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| M. Wright | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| J. McCarville | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Peters | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| A. Harris | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Jarry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 36 | 8-16 | 3-10 | 9-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 12 | - |
| D. Bonner | 35 | 0-13 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Dupree | 35 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| B. Butler | 26 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Houston | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Griner | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| K. Thomas | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Kizer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter