Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +6 (73-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jia Perkins * | 31 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 30 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Davellyn Whyte * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Danielle Adams * | 22 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 28 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chelsea Poppens | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Goodrich * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Candice Wiggins * | 32 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Liz Cambage * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 12 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter