Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry | 37 | 6-20 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| E. de Souza | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| A. Herrington | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 26 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 26 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| L. Willingham | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Bentley | 14 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Latta | 36 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Currie | 32 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Hill | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Snow | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. McKenith | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter