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2013-08-22

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 87.4% 12.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 86.2% 13.8% - โœ“
Margin 90.4% 9.6% -12.3 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 71.1% 28.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.7% 7.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.7% 7.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 75.1% 24.9% - โœ“

Actual: Connecticut Sun -14 (77-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moore 33 6-17 0-2 5-6 5 5 1 0 1 17 10 -
S. Augustus 33 7-12 1-2 3-3 1 6 2 1 0 18 16 -
R. Brunson 32 11-14 0-0 2-3 11 5 2 0 1 24 27 -
L. Whalen 27 5-9 0-0 2-2 3 5 2 0 2 12 11 -
D. Peters 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 4 -
J. McCarville 20 5-5 1-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 11 12 -
M. Wright 19 4-7 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
L. Moore 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
R. Jarry 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Rodgers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. White 33 5-13 0-1 3-3 3 4 2 0 3 13 6 -
K. Griffin 32 3-7 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
K. Greene 32 3-9 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 -1 -
R. Montgomery 31 5-9 4-6 2-2 4 5 0 0 5 16 11 -
Tina Charles 29 10-18 0-0 2-2 12 0 0 0 1 22 15 -
I. Castro 23 2-5 0-3 1-2 0 3 0 0 3 5 0 -
M. Bass 13 1-1 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 0 5 7 -
K. Pedersen 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -

* = starter