Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.2% | 24.8% | -6.1 | ✗ (19.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +13 (88-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 35 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 17 | - |
| R. Brunson | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 26 | - |
| S. Augustus | 32 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | -1 | - |
| L. Whalen | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. McCarville | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Wright | 20 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| R. Jarry | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Peters | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Moore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Harris | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. de Souza | 37 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 30 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 35 | 6-18 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 13 | - |
| A. Herrington | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 26 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Bentley | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| L. Willingham | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter