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2013-08-18

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 30.6% 69.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 โœ“ (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Dream +18 (76-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Langhorne 25 4-7 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 0 4 9 8 -
I. Latta 24 5-12 2-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 12 3 -
M. Ajavon 23 0-6 0-1 1-2 0 2 1 0 3 1 -5 -
M. Currie 22 4-15 2-4 0-0 7 2 2 0 1 10 5 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 18 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
T. Hill 17 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 3 -2 -
N. McKenith 16 1-6 0-1 2-4 4 3 1 0 1 4 5 -
Emma Meesseman 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
Kia Vaughn 15 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 1 1 6 6 -
M. Snow 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
Q. Hollingsworth 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Herrington 30 3-7 0-0 1-3 6 1 2 0 3 7 6 -
E. de Souza 30 2-8 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 3 0 6 11 -
Angel McCoughtry 27 8-15 0-2 6-8 4 3 3 1 5 22 13 -
Jasmine Thomas 26 3-9 1-3 1-2 2 4 1 1 3 8 4 -
Tiffany Hayes 25 7-10 3-4 6-8 6 3 1 0 3 23 20 -
L. Willingham 24 3-4 0-1 2-2 4 2 1 1 0 8 12 -
A. Bentley 22 1-4 0-2 0-3 1 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Henry-Morello 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
C. Clements 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Riley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter