Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -9 (57-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matee Ajavon * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 33 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Crystal Langhorne * | 31 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 19 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nadirah McKenith | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tayler Hill | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plenette Pierson * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 32 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 31 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kamiko Williams * | 10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kelsey Bone | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter