Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Tulsa Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tulsa Shock -5 (103-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 45 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| D. Bonner | 42 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 8-18 | 4-9 | 9-10 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 29 | - |
| B. Butler | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| B. Griner | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| C. Houston | 20 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Kizer | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnson | 39 | 12-23 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 19 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 34 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 34 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| R. Williams | 26 | 9-17 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | - |
| N. Powell | 26 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. Hodges | 26 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Lacy | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Goodrich | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter