Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.7% | 23.3% | -6.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -7 (62-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wright | 39 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| L. Whalen | 37 | 10-23 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 5 | - |
| M. Moore | 36 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Brunson | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. McCarville | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Peters | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Jarry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Harris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 33 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| E. Larkins | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Briann January | 31 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| S. Zellous | 31 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| E. Phillips | 27 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Hassell | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Goodlett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter