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2013-06-16

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 51.4% 48.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Margin 26.4% 73.6% +5.7 โœ“ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.0% 68.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Dream +14 (88-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elena Delle Donne * 31 7-19 0-0 11-11 5 0 0 0 1 25 10 -
Sylvia Fowles * 27 2-7 0-0 4-4 10 0 1 1 3 8 10 -
Swin Cash * 24 4-8 0-2 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 9 2 -
Courtney Vandersloot * 23 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 7 1 0 2 0 6 -
Tamera Young * 19 2-8 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 0 4 5 2 -
Allie Quigley 28 6-16 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 14 -1 -
Sharnee Zoll-Norman 16 3-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 6 2 -
Carolyn Swords 12 2-3 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 1 1 5 7 -
Michelle Campbell 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Shay Murphy 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Angel McCoughtry * 34 7-16 3-5 6-8 6 2 3 4 3 23 19 -
Armintie Herrington * 31 0-3 0-0 0-4 5 4 5 0 2 0 9 -
Jasmine Thomas * 30 6-13 1-4 0-0 0 3 0 1 1 13 3 -
Erika de Souza * 28 7-12 0-0 2-2 11 0 1 3 0 16 19 -
Le'coe Willingham * 19 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
Tiffany Hayes 28 4-9 0-1 8-9 6 8 3 1 2 16 23 -
Alex Bentley 12 3-8 2-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 8 2 -
Aneika Morello 11 2-5 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
Courtney Clements 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Anne Marie Armstrong 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter