Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -18 (57-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 27 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Jantel Lavender * | 26 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 20 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A'dia Mathies | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Farhiya Abdi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 30 | 10-13 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 28 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Emma Meesseman * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Nadirah McKenith | 16 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tayler Hill | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michelle Snow | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Quanitra Hollingsworth | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter