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2013-09-07

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.0% 72.0% - โœ“
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 โœ“ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.3% 68.7% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Griffin 32 5-12 2-5 2-2 7 0 1 0 0 14 10 -
T. White 31 6-13 0-4 1-4 3 2 0 0 3 13 2 -
R. Montgomery 30 5-14 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 10 -4 -
M. Bass 29 2-7 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 0 4 4 6 -
K. Greene 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Pedersen 19 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 2 2 1 1 2 5 -
I. Castro 17 2-5 0-1 4-4 4 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
S. Carter 16 3-8 0-3 1-2 4 1 2 0 2 7 4 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Christmas-Kelly 30 4-6 0-1 1-1 5 0 1 3 0 9 12 -
E. Larkins 28 5-7 0-0 2-2 6 1 2 1 2 12 13 -
Briann January 27 4-11 2-5 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 10 3 -
L. Clarendon 25 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 6 0 0 2 2 9 -
J. Breland 23 5-11 0-0 2-3 9 1 2 1 3 12 11 -
T. Catchings 23 5-13 1-3 4-4 6 1 4 0 3 15 10 -
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 21 0-4 0-4 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 2 -1 -
S. Zellous 17 3-6 0-1 1-3 3 1 0 0 2 7 3 -
J. Hassell 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter