Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +16 (97-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Coleman | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Parker | 32 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| K. Toliver | 29 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 28 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| L. Harding | 27 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Lavender | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| F. Abdi | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Mathies | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 38 | 8-18 | 1-8 | 6-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 11-19 | 5-9 | 7-8 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 26 | - |
| B. Butler | 37 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Houston | 32 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| K. Thomas | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Griner | 15 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| L. Kizer | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter