Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -9 (74-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Whalen * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 28 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 28 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Monica Wright | 25 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Amber Harris | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rachel Jarry | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glory Johnson * | 36 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Candice Wiggins * | 23 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nicole Powell | 26 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 21 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Angel Goodrich | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter