Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +7 (96-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 36 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jantel Lavender * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 16 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Farhiya Abdi | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glory Johnson * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Liz Cambage * | 31 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 27 | - |
| Candice Wiggins * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 29 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Angel Goodrich * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 8 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter