Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +22 (85-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Danielle Adams * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 23 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -4 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 21 | 5-12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Davellyn Whyte | 18 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Whalen * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 30 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 26 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Monica Wright | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Amber Harris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lindsey Moore | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter