Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +32 (91-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Bonner | 27 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -4 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Griner | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Houston | 21 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -2 | - |
| B. Butler | 21 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Thomas | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Taylor | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| L. Kizer | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 32 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| M. Wright | 28 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| R. Brunson | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. McCarville | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| L. Whalen | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| D. Peters | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| S. Augustus | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| R. Jarry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Harris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Moore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter