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2013-06-14

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% - โœ“
Margin 44.2% 55.8% +1.3 โœ“ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.7% 46.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“

Actual: New York Liberty +10 (78-68). Ratings: 2014 season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kara Lawson * 35 6-14 3-5 1-2 6 6 0 0 6 16 8 -
Allison Hightower * 34 6-14 3-6 2-2 2 5 0 0 1 17 9 -
Kalana Greene * 28 2-8 1-3 0-0 3 2 4 1 2 5 5 -
Kelsey Griffin * 25 4-8 0-1 1-1 8 1 4 0 1 9 13 -
Tina Charles * 25 3-17 0-1 1-2 4 3 1 1 0 7 -1 -
Mistie Bass 19 3-5 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 2 0 7 13 -
Kelly Faris 16 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 5 3 -
Ashley Walker 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
Iziane Castro Marques 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cappie Pondexter * 36 8-22 0-1 4-5 5 4 3 0 1 20 9 -
Katie Smith * 28 4-6 2-4 0-2 4 2 0 0 2 10 8 -
Kara Braxton * 23 4-12 0-0 3-6 13 0 0 1 2 11 11 -
Plenette Pierson * 17 2-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 3 6 2 -
Kamiko Williams * 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
Leilani Mitchell 25 4-5 4-5 4-4 9 5 1 0 1 16 25 -
Alex Montgomery 24 2-5 0-1 0-0 8 0 1 1 3 4 6 -
Kelsey Bone 18 1-6 0-0 3-6 7 0 0 1 3 5 4 -
Toni Young 10 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 4 5 -

* = starter