Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (23.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +27 (93-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 25 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 25 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Davellyn Whyte | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 29 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 30 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 19 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A'dia Mathies | 23 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Farhiya Abdi | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter