Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +27 (93-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 25 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 25 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Davellyn Whyte | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 29 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 30 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 19 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A'dia Mathies | 23 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Farhiya Abdi | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter