Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +12 (65-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 12-15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 29 | 3-17 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -6 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Toni Young * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kelsey Bone | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Samantha Prahalis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kamiko Williams | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Danielle Adams * | 34 | 5-18 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 30 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 20 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Davellyn Whyte | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter