Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +8 (97-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 38 | 13-25 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 18 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 21 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Avery Warley-Talbert * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kelsey Bone | 28 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kamiko Williams | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Toni Young | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 35 | 12-17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 29 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 15 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A'dia Mathies | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Farhiya Abdi | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter