Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thomas | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| B. Butler | 29 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Dupree | 27 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Bonner | 27 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| J. James | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| C. Houston | 22 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| L. Kizer | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Augustus | 33 | 8-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| R. Brunson | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| L. Whalen | 27 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| J. McCarville | 27 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Moore | 22 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| M. Wright | 22 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Peters | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Harris | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Moore | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Jarry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter